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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
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08ASTANA2071 | 2008-10-17 02:16 | 2011-08-30 01:44 | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY | Embassy Astana |
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 ASTANA 002071 SENSITIVE SIPDIS STATE FOR SCA/CEN, DRL E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: PGOV PHUM KDEM KZ SUBJECT: KAZAKHSTAN: PHONE CONVERSATIONS RELEASED BY ALIYEV RAISE SUSPICIONS ABOUT OPPOSITION LEADER TUYAKBAY ¶1. (U) Sensitive but unclassified. Not for public Internet. ¶2. (SBU) SUMMARY: President Nazarbayev's ex-son-in-law, Rakhat Aliyev, posted on the Internet recordings of alleged phone conversations involving former Presidential Administration Chief Adylbek Dzhaksybekov, former National Security Committee (KNB) Chief Nartay Dutbayev, and opposition National Social Democratic Party (OSDP) leader Zharmakhan Tuyakbay. If authentic, the conversations, which appear to date from 2006-07, provide evidence that Tuyakbay was closely cooperating with the authorities, actively seeking meetings with Nazarbayev, and receiving financial support from the government. Responding to the release of the recordings, Tuyakbay did not deny that he sought meetings with Nazarbayev; however, he argued that any party work requires dealing with the authorities, and maintained that OSDP is financed solely by private sources. While Azat party leader Bulat Abilov rose to Tuyakbay's defense in a newspaper interview, leading opposition journalist Sergei Duvanov told us that the recordings confirmed his own suspicions that Tuyakbay is a "government spy in the opposition camp." END SUMMARY. OPPOSITION LEADER TUYAKBAY ON GOVERNMENT'S PAYROLL? ... ¶3. (SBU) On or about October 1, President Nazarbayev's ex-son-in-law, Rakhat Aliyev, posted on his Internet website (kaztoday.livejournal.com) recordings of alleged telephone conversations involving former Presidential Administration Chief Adylbek Dzhaksybekov, former KNB Chief Nartay Dutbayev, and opposition National Social Democratic Party (OSDP) leader Zharmakhan Tuyakbay. The recordings were accompanied by transcripts of the conversations. Both the recordings and transcripts have since been removed from the website, but we obtained the transcripts for review. The conversations appear to have taken place during 2006-07 and, if authentic, indicate that Tuyakbay, who was the opposition's united presidential candidate in the 2005 elections, was closely cooperating with the government, actively seeking meetings with President Nazarabyev, and was receiving financing from the government. ¶4. (SBU) In the transcript of the first conversation, Zhaksybekov and Dutbayev discuss Tuyakbay's attempts to meet with President Nazarbayev. Zhaksybekov tells Dutbayev that Tuyakbay tried to get a meeting with the "boss" by going through the chief of Presidential Security. Zhaksybekov, who appears to have heard about the request from Nazarbayev himself, berates Dutbayev for letting his "charge" go directly to Nazarbayev. "We have to know the issues so we can prepare the boss," he says. Dutbayev says that Tuyakbay wants to talk about registration of his party, to which Zhaksybekov responds that Justice Minister Baliyeva is already working on speeding up the process. Dutbayev says that Tuyakbay told him he has an "arrangement" with "the boss" about regular meetings, and goes on to complain to Dzhaksybekov that he is "sick and tired" of Tuyakbay's daily phone calls. Zhaksybekov promises to follow up on the party registration issue, but asks Dutbayev to keep a closer eye on Tuyakbay. ¶5. (SBU) The two following conversations appear to be between Dutbayev and Tuyakbay, in which the two set up a meeting that also involves a third, unidentified person. In a subsequent conversation, Dutbayev reports back to Zhaksybekov that the meeting went well and that a certain Dzhumakarov -- presumably the unidentified third party -- "brought the cash." Ostensibly talking about Tuyakbay, Dutbayev says "he is in a good mood, but complains that the money is not enough." Zhaksybekov retorts that nobody ever has enough. In the transcript of the final conversation, Zhaksybekov tells Dutbayev that his "charge" tried to see "the boss" again, but that he recommended against the meeting since "he hasn't proven himself yet." Zhaksybekov says he will meet "this person" in Almaty to discuss the way forward, but goes on to say that "he'll likely only want to talk about money." ASTANA 00002071 002 OF 002 ... OR SIMPLY A SMEAR CAMPAIGN? ¶6. (U) In an October 3 interview to the KazTag news agency, Tuyakbay described the recordings as "part of a plan aimed at discrediting me and our party." He did not deny that he sought meetings with President Nazarbayev. "Any party activity inevitably involves � A;contact with various people, including those in power," he said. "For the sake of the party and general democratic principles, I am continuing this work even now, and it is in defense of this that I initiated a request for a meeting with the President at the beginning of 2007." Asked about his receiving financing from the government, Tuyakbay replied that the transcripts are aimed specifically at "casting doubts on the independent financing of our party." He maintained that OSDP is backed by several private individuals "who do not belong to the power hierarchy," but whose names cannot be revealed because of the "situation we have in Kazakhstan." "I can assure anybody in the government who believes they've tamed our party that their attempts have failed," contended Tuyakbay. ABILOV RISES TO TUYAKBAY'S DEFENSE ... ¶7. (U) Opposition Azat party head Bulat Abilov -- a sometime partner, sometime rival of Tuyakbay's -- rose to Tuyakbay's defense in an October 10 interview in "Delovaya Nedelya" newspaper. He categorically denied that Tuyakbay is controlled by the government. Abilov admitted the authenticity of a recording of a conversation between himself and Dzhaksybekov -- which was also posted on Aliyev's website but has since been removed. In that conversation, Abilov asked for a meeting for himself and two other leaders of Azat -- known then as True Ak Zhol -- with Dzhaksybekov in order to discuss an unnamed "political issue." Dzhaksybekov agreed, but insisted that the meeting be in his office, rather than on "neutral ground," as Abilov requested. Abilov explained to "Delovaya Nedelya" that his party actually had several meetings with Zhaksybekov in 2007. According to Abilov, in one instance, they requested the Presidential Administration's permission to hold a rally in Almaty to mark the one-year anniversary of the assassination of opposition leader Altynbek Sarsenbayev, and in another instance, they sought guarantees that the August 2007 parliamentary elections would be fair. ... BUT DUVANOV'S SUSPICIONS ARE CONFIRMED ¶8. (SBU) During an October 10 meeting in Almaty, leading opposition journalist Sergei Duvanov told us that the telephone conversations had completely discredited Tuyakbay -- and confirmed his own suspicions, dating back several years, that Tuyakbay is a "government spy in the opposition camp." Duvanov had listened to the actual recordings on-line and said he had no doubt that they were authentic, with Dzhaksybekov clearly identifiable by his distinctive voice and style. ¶9. (SBU) COMMENT: It is no secret that most of Kazakhstan's opposition leaders maintain extensive contacts with the government and on occasion meet with President Nazarbayev. Thus, the real question raised by the recorded conversations is whether Tuyakbay has been on the government payroll. The contents of the recordings, if authentic, are in any event not fully conclusive on this issue. In releasing the recordings, Rakhat Aliyev was likely aiming to discredit Nazarbayev for manipulating the political process, rather than trying to bring down Tuyakbay. END COMMENT. HOAGLAND
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